REALTORS Actually Losing Ground to FSBO and Alternative Real Estate Models

The NAR is often quoted as stating the FSBO's are going down and losing market share but the reality, is that they (we) are really gaining a huge market share.

Don't believe me?

I know many (REALTORS) will quote the 2006 National Association of REALTORS (NAR) Home Buyer and Seller Survey there is a downtrend in For Sale by Owner transactions but you must actually read the report to quote it properly.

Here are the favorite facts of the NAR report:

"We find that the level of for-sale-by-owners is on a sustained decline and is now at a record low..."

- 12% of real estate transactions were FSBO in 2006 (down 1% from previous year)

- 13% in 2005.

- The record high was 20% in 1987

- the cyclical peak of 18% in 1997.

What interesting about the NAR and the report is that unless your purchase it for $125 to read the entire report this important facts are left out. Unfortunately I cannot post the entire report I purchased for you to read as the NAR would come after me but here are these important additional facts:

- 12% sellers successfully completed FSBO transactions - (proudly made public)

- 8% sellers successfully used minimal "MLS only" listing (this is really just a FSBO who paid $300 to get it on the MLS) - not shown in press release.

- 9% of sellers used a "limited service agent" i.e. alternative, discount, ala carte... call it what you want, it's not a traditional agent and not a traditional commission. - not shown in press release.

So when you do the math, that is 29% of the estimated 6,180,000 real estate transactions where NOT completed by a full service 6% agent.

Lets see...

- 29% of 6,180,000 is 1,792,200 transactions.

Now to me that seems like a SIGNIFICANT increase alternative / fsbo real estate transactions from the often quoted 20% high of 1987 when only a total of 3,526,000 transactions were done.

- 20% "all time high" of 3,526,000 is 705,200 "FSBO / alternative" transactions.

Maybe it's just me but 1 million MORE transactions seem like an increase?

Will REALTORS be Extinct in Near Future?

There is a blog post at inman news that is getting lots of comments... mostly pro-REALTOR... never extinct kind of stuff. Very interesting reading for those who take the time to view all comments.

Overall, it seems that must think the REALTORS job will simply change since they don't control the information anymore and they will act more as interpreters of the information consumers find.

We believe that there will be a much larger push towards FSBO not necessarily out of desire but more do due to "need" with homeowners not having enough equity in their homes to sell using an agent.

What are your thoughts... are agents here to stay or go the way of a dinosaur?